Join the global community at CGIAR Science and Partnership Week 2027 in New Delhi, India, 12–17 April 2027, to help shape resilient food, land, and water systems.
News

Study reveals Africa will reach 1.5°C climate change threshold by 2040 even under low emission scenarios

New research highlighted in CABI Reviews suggests that all five subregions of Africa will breach the 1.5°C climate change threshold—the limit stipulated by the Paris Agreement—by 2040 even under low emission scenarios. A team of scientists from the University of Zimbabwe, the International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) in Kenya, and the African Group of Negotiators Experts Support (AGNES) conducted a

Study reveals Africa will reach 1.5°C climate change threshold by 2040 even under low emission scenarios

New research highlighted in CABI Reviews suggests that all five subregions of Africa will breach the 1.5°C climate change threshold—the limit stipulated by the Paris Agreement—by 2040 even under low emission scenarios.

A team of scientists from the University of Zimbabwe, the International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) in Kenya, and the African Group of Negotiators Experts Support (AGNES) conducted a literature review to develop a framework for just transition pathways for Africa’s agriculture towards low emission and climate resilient development under 1.5°C of global warming.

They found that despite Africa emitting less than 4% of global greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere, the 1.5°C climate change threshold will be approached by 2040 in all five subregions of Africa, even under low emission scenarios.

Photo: Dassanech pastoralist moves his livestock to a water point in drylands of South Omo, SNNPR, Ethiopia (credit: ILRI/Fiona Flintan)

Curated by Tezira Lore, Communication Officer, ILRI